Where does the middle Mega Millions number land?
Mega Millions has been drawn as 5 numbers from 70 plus a Mega Ball from 24 since April 2025. Everything on this page counts only the 162 draws since that change.
Across 162 Mega Millions draws the middle of a draw has averaged 36, and chance puts it at 36, the same figure to the nearest number.
Chance puts the middle of a draw exactly at the centre of the pool, so the record is right on that figure, to the nearest tenth of a standard error. Of the draws read, 77 came in above the centre and 85 below, where chance splits them evenly at 81 each. That is the record to draw 162 on 2026-10-23. Your own numbers go in the box further down.
What was measured one reading per draw
Sort a draw and take its middle: with five numbers in a draw that is the middle number itself, with two below it and the same count above. The centre of the pool is the number halfway along it, 35.5 at today's pool of 70.
The prediction is exact and it comes out of the order statistics of a draw, not out of the record: chance puts the middle at the centre of the pool, and turning the pool back to front sends every draw to another draw just as likely, so the spread around that centre is a mirror image of itself. The pool has been 70 numbers throughout the record read here, so the centre has not moved. The centre itself is a place the middle can never land at any pool here, so a draw is always on one side of it or the other.
The record 162 draws, 8 rows
Red marks a figure outside the range ordinary variation produces
| Middle lands | Chance | Draws |
|---|---|---|
| 19 or lower | 1911.9% | 151.1 SE |
| 20 to 25 | 1912.0% | 180.4 SE |
| 26 to 30 | 2012.4% | 251.2 SE |
| 31 to 35 | 2213.6% | 271.1 SE |
| 36 to 40 | 2213.6% | 190.7 SE |
| 41 to 45 | 2012.4% | 210.2 SE |
| 46 to 51 | 1912.0% | 220.6 SE |
| 52 or higher | 1911.9% | 151.1 SE |
The bands were cut from the prediction alone, never from the counts, so chance puts a similar number of draws in each: between 19 and 22 across the eight rows. No row is therefore the biggest row for its width alone. The fullest row in the record is 31 to 35, holding 27 draws where chance predicts 22. Which row comes out fullest is luck rather than shape, the rows having been cut to be about equal in the first place. No row sits outside that range, where chance alone puts 0.39 of them outside. A marked row would not be explained by the number of rows read.
Every figure on this page carries a range, which is worth saying because many of these pages cannot. The reading is one number per draw and draws do not lean on one another, so a count of draws is a sum of independent trials and its spread is exact. Nothing here was picked out for being extreme either, the question being whether two things match rather than which draw was the strangest, so no figure is high merely because it was chosen for being high.
Recent trend last 100 draws, then blocks of 20
The first 100 draws put the middle at 34 on average against a predicted 36, and the last 100 put it at 37 against 36, which is 1.2 standard errors above it. Chance predicts the same centre for both stretches, to the nearest number.
Average middle of a draw, one point per block of 20 draws
result for the blockrange ordinary variation allowsoutside that range
Oldest block on the left, newest on the right, and the band is what chance predicts for those same draws, read at the pool each one was drawn from. No point sits outside the band here. Across eight blocks, chance alone puts 0.36 of them outside, so a point outside would not be explained by the number of blocks read.
Applied to this draw draw 162 · 2026-10-23
Draw 162 was 0307464951.
The middle of that draw landed 10.5 above the centre of the pool, which is 0.8 standard errors above it.
Try your own numbers where their middle lands
Three numbers are enough. You can put in up to five, from 70, and the middle of them comes back with the centre of the pool beside it.
Nothing typed yet, so these are the numbers of draw 36, whose middle landed furthest from the centre out of the draws at today's pool of 70.
Related statistics
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