Does the draw day change what Lotto Max produces?
A Tuesday Lotto Max draw has averaged 25.49 against 25.11 on Friday, a difference of 0.38. Chance predicts 0.32.
Chance predicts a difference at all because the two nights do not cover the same history. Friday has 890 draws going back to 2009-09-25, Tuesday has 387 since 2019-05-14, and the pool grew over that stretch, so the older night carries years of smaller pools and a lower predicted average with them.
What was measured read from the dates
The draw nights are counted from the dates themselves, not assumed. This record holds 2 nights: Friday 890, Tuesday 387.
The schedule is the denominator, and it is uneven. Setting a number's count on one night against half of its appearances would make every number look like a Friday number, because that night simply held more draws. Each expectation here is instead summed draw by draw from the pool of the draw it belongs to, over exactly the draws a number was eligible for. A number that only entered the pool later is measured against the nights that ran after it arrived, not against the whole record.
Each night 1,277 draws
| Night | Draws | Since | Average | Chance | SE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friday | 890 | 2009-09-25 | 25.11 | 25.25 | -0.82 |
| Tuesday | 387 | 2019-05-14 | 25.49 | 25.57 | -0.30 |
Red marks a figure outside the range ordinary variation produces
The Chance column is not the same for every night, and that is the whole point. It is the average of 7/pool arithmetic over the draws that night actually held, so a night whose record reaches further back carries whatever pool sizes were in force then. Comparing the nights against one shared figure would manufacture a difference that is only the calendar.
Numbers that lean one way 50 ranked
| Number | Seen | On Tuesday | Share | Chance | SE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 195 | 69 | 35.4% | 30.0% | +2.19 |
| 19 | 203 | 67 | 33.0% | 30.0% | +1.90 |
| 38 | 193 | 67 | 34.7% | 30.0% | +1.90 |
| 18 | 190 | 63 | 33.2% | 30.0% | +1.31 |
| 13 | 164 | 62 | 37.8% | 30.0% | +1.17 |
| 20 | 167 | 44 | 26.3% | 30.0% | -1.47 |
| 17 | 171 | 43 | 25.1% | 30.0% | -1.62 |
| 08 | 177 | 42 | 23.7% | 30.0% | -1.77 |
| 41 | 174 | 40 | 23.0% | 30.0% | -2.06 |
| 47 | 176 | 40 | 22.7% | 30.0% | -2.06 |
The five leaning each way, out of 50 numbers read. 2 numbers with fewer than 25 appearances are left out: a number drawn seven times can land five of them on one night and top this table on nothing at all. 3 of the 50 sit outside that range. Reading 50 numbers is how that happens: at two standard errors about one in twenty lands outside by chance alone, so a handful is the price of reading 50, not a property of those numbers.
Recent trend blocks of 20 draws
result for the blockrange ordinary variation allowsoutside that range
Each point is the average number drawn across one block of 20 draws, both nights together. The band is what chance predicts for those draws from their own pools, which is why it is not a flat line: when the pool grows, the predicted average rises with it. That step is the same effect that gives the two nights different predicted averages above.
Applied to this draw draw 1277 · 2026-10-09
Draw 1277 fell on a Friday and drew 06101925293950. Its numbers average 25.43, where chance predicts 26.50 for any draw from 52 numbers. Friday draws have averaged 25.11 over 890 draws.
Of its 7 numbers, 5 have come up more often on Tuesday than chance predicts: 0610193950, and 2 more often on Friday: 2529. That is a reading of the past, not a property of the numbers.
Related statistics
Share this page
If this report does not answer your question, tell us what you need and we will look at building it. Contact