Mega Millions hot and cold patterns
Mega Millions has been drawn as 5 numbers from 70 plus a Mega Ball from 24 since April 2025. Everything on this page counts only the 158 draws since that change.
0 hot, 3 cold came up most often — 28 of 148 draws (18.9%). Chance predicts 25.
Hot means a number came up at least twice in the previous ten draws. Cold means it did not come up at all. Here is how many of each a draw has actually contained, and how many chance predicts. Across all 148 draws on record. Across every category, the history sits about where chance puts it. Nothing here is out of the ordinary.
Every hot and cold split on record
| Hot and cold | Times | Share | Chance predicts | Happened against predicted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 hot, 3 cold | 28 | 18.9% | 25 | |
| 0 hot, 2 cold | 22 | 14.9% | 22 | |
| 1 hot, 3 cold | 20 | 13.5% | 16 | |
| 1 hot, 2 cold | 15 | 10.1% | 21 | |
| 0 hot, 4 cold | 12 | 8.1% | 14 | |
| 1 hot, 1 cold | 12 | 8.1% | 11 | |
| 0 hot, 1 cold | 8 | 5.4% | 10 | |
| 2 hot, 2 cold | 8 | 5.4% | 6 | |
| 0 hot, 5 cold | 5 | 3.4% | 3 | |
| 1 hot, 4 cold | 4 | 2.7% | 5 | |
| 0 hot, 0 cold | 4 | 2.7% | 2 | |
| 2 hot, 1 cold | 3 | 2.0% | 5 | |
| 1 hot, 0 cold | 3 | 2.0% | 2 | |
| 2 hot, 3 cold | 2 | 1.4% | 2 | |
| 3 hot, 0 cold | 1 | 0.7% | 0 | |
| 3 hot, 1 cold | 1 | 0.7% | 1 | |
| 2 hot, 0 cold | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | |
| 3 hot, 2 cold | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
what happened ·
what chance predicts.
The closer the bar ends at the line, the more ordinary the result.
Measured against the draws BEFORE each draw, never including it. Hot means the number appeared at least 2 times in the previous 10 draws and at least 1 time in the previous 5. Cold means it did not appear at all in the previous 10. Both pools change size every draw, so the expected figure is worked out per draw and added up.
3 further
outcomes are possible but too rare to list — chance predicts
0.11 of them across the whole record,
and they have never happened.
The latest draw
Draw #158, 2026-10-09: 0207166370
That is 0 hot, 3 cold, which has come up 28 times (18.9% of draws). Chance predicts 25.
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