Where does each sorted Lotto 6/49 number sit?
Across 4,462 Lotto 6/49 draws an average draw has put 3.1 of its six numbers above the seat chance picks for them, where chance predicts 3.0.
Sorted smallest to largest, chance seats those numbers evenly across the pool, 7.1 apart at today's pool of 49. The position furthest from its seat is the fifth lowest number, at 3.6 standard errors. That is the record to draw 4462 on 2026-10-24. Your own numbers go in the box further down.
What was measured one reading per draw
Sort a draw and every number has a place: the lowest, the second lowest, and so on up to the highest. Chance spreads those places evenly, giving the first of them a seat one spacing along the pool, the second two spacings along, and the last one a spacing short of the top. The pool has been 49 numbers throughout the record read here, so the seats have not moved.
A seat is not the middle of its own position, though, which is the thing that makes the second table below worth reading. The lowest number has a long tail upward and a short one downward, so its average sits above the middle of its own spread and chance puts fewer than half of its draws above its seat. Turning the pool back to front swaps the two ends, so the top end is the mirror of the bottom end rather than of itself, and chance predicts exactly half the positions of a draw above their seats, no seat here falling on a whole number that a draw could land on instead.
The record 4,462 draws, six positions
Red marks a figure outside the range ordinary variation produces
Where each position has averaged, against the seat chance gives it
| Position | Chance seats it | Record average |
|---|---|---|
| Lowest | 7.1 | 7.42.5 SE |
| Second lowest | 14.3 | 14.51.6 SE |
| Third lowest | 21.4 | 21.72.6 SE |
| Fourth lowest | 28.6 | 28.92.8 SE |
| Fifth lowest | 35.7 | 36.13.6 SE |
| Highest | 42.9 | 43.12.5 SE |
The furthest from its seat is the fifth lowest number, averaging 36.1 against a seat of 35.7, or 3.6 standard errors out. Reading six positions, chance alone puts 0.0021 of them that far out, so a gap that size would not be explained by the number of positions read. Of the positions read, 5 sit outside the range chance allows, where reading this many of them puts 0.27 outside.
How often each position has landed above its own seat
| Position | Chance | Draws above |
|---|---|---|
| Lowest | 1,67437.5% | 1,7402.0 SE |
| Second lowest | 1,96844.1% | 2,0221.6 SE |
| Third lowest | 2,15148.2% | 2,2312.4 SE |
| Fourth lowest | 2,31151.8% | 2,4072.9 SE |
| Fifth lowest | 2,49455.9% | 2,5862.8 SE |
| Highest | 2,78862.5% | 2,8722.6 SE |
The predicted shares in that table are not halves, and that is the shape of a position rather than anything in the record: chance puts 37.5% of the lowest number's draws above its seat and 62.5% of the highest number's, the one being the mirror of the other. Adding the predicted counts down that column gives the figure at the top of the page back again, since both tables read the same sorted draws. In this table 5 positions sit outside their range, against 0.27 for a table this wide. Nothing here was picked out for being extreme, the question being whether the record matches an even spacing rather than which position was the strangest, so the only figure left unmarked is the furthest from its seat above.
Recent trend last 100 draws, then blocks of 20
The first 100 draws put 3.2 positions above their seats on average against a predicted 3.0, and the last 100 put 3.3 against 3.0, which is 1.3 standard errors above it. Chance predicts the same figure for both stretches, to the nearest tenth.
Positions above their seat, one point per block of 20 draws
result for the blockrange ordinary variation allowsoutside that range
Oldest block on the left, newest on the right, and the band is what chance predicts for those same draws, read at the pool each one was drawn from. No point sits outside the band here. Across ten blocks, chance alone puts 0.46 of them outside, so a point outside would not be explained by the number of blocks read.
Applied to this draw draw 4462 · 2026-10-24
Draw 4462 was 092022293747.
The number furthest from its seat in that draw was 20 in the second lowest place, 5.7 above its seat of 14.3. Being the furthest out of six places, it is further from its seat than a typical place by definition, so that gap is a feature of reading six places rather than of that draw.
Try your own numbers where each of them sits
Two numbers are enough. You can put in up to six, from 49, and each one comes back beside the seat chance gives its place in a set that size.
Nothing typed yet, so these are the numbers of draw 1748, the draw at today's pool of 49 whose numbers sat furthest from their seats in total.
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